Revised 21st century temperature projections
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Temperature increase of 21st century mitigation scenarios.
Estimates of 21st Century global-mean surface temperature increase have generally been based on scenarios that do not include climate policies. Newly developed multigas mitigation scenarios, based on a wide range of modeling approaches and socioeconomic assumptions, now allow the assessment of possible impacts of climate policies on projected warming ranges. This article assesses the atmospheri...
متن کامل20th and 21st Century Science: Reflections and Projections
Twentieth century natural science opened onto a bewildering array of empirical anomalies and bemusing heuristic theories that testified to grossly inadequate comprehension of atomic-scale structures and processes. Subsequent decades saw remarkable advances in the acquisition of more definitive data, the formulation of functional models, and the postulation of profound philosophical interpretati...
متن کاملProbabilistic projections of 21st century climate change over Northern Eurasia
We present probabilistic projections of 21st century climate change over Northern Eurasia using the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Integrated Global System Model (IGSM), an integrated assessment model that couples an Earth system model of intermediate complexity with a two-dimensional zonal-mean atmosphere to a human activity model. Regional climate change is obtained by two downsc...
متن کاملClimate Projections for the 21st Century Using Random Sets
We apply random set theory to an analysis of future climate change. Bounds on cumulative probability are used to quantify uncertainties in natural and socio-economic factors that influence estimates of global mean temperature. We explore the link of random sets to lower envelopes of probability families bounded by cumulative probability intervals. By exploiting this link, a random set for a sim...
متن کاملMedical Education in 21st-century
Medical education play an important role in health of people in 20st-century, but this system has to change overtime. Medical education must respond to not only the demand of community at larg but also to changing in new technologies. Medical education have been criticized in last two decades of 20st-century, because of producing too many specialists focus on treatment instead of health, insuf...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Climate Research
سال: 2002
ISSN: 0936-577X,1616-1572
DOI: 10.3354/cr023001